Resumo
The article is devoted to the urgent problem of decarbonization of the transport sector at the international level, because transport generates the bulk of greenhouse gas emissions in the 21st century. The aim of the research is to assess the impact of global decarbonization trends on individual types of transport and predict the likely scale of emissions until 2030. Current trends are analyzed taking into account the impact of lockdowns during the COVID-19 pandemic, due to restrictions on the movement of individuals and vehicles, which led to a decrease in the overall level of air pollution and emissions CO2 and other gases, and post-pandemic times, that demonstrated the restoration and simultaneous reformatting of global supply chains disrupted in the previous years. Developing the provisions of theoretical research on decarbonization issues, based on current statistical data, the authors of the article built predictive models of the dynamics of emissions by transport subsectors. The analysis showed the need to continue the global decarbonization trend, a significant contribution to which can be made by land road transportation (generating the maximum level of pollution for all types of transport) and the increased use of environmental composite components. A shift to greater use of environment-friendly modes of transport (electric vehicles) and sustainable transport technologies will help improve the global climate.